Freiburg vs Mainz 05 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Freiburg v Mainz 05 — Team-Based Signals
Freiburg vs Mainz 05 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Freiburg 4-0 Mainz 05 — Actual Match Statistics
Freiburg made light work of Mainz 05 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Freiburg as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: both teams to score (55%) never looked like landing.
By the numbers, Freiburg had 75% of the ball to Mainz 05's 25%, shots finished 23-1, expected goals 4.60 to 0.08.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Freiburg had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Freiburg and 0.83 for Mainz 05.
Freiburg vs Mainz 05 Result & Final Score
Freiburg 4 - 0 Mainz 05 in the Germany - Bundesliga on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Freiburg vs Mainz 05 Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Freiburg 54%, draw 25%, Mainz 05 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Freiburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.