Freiburg vs Mainz 05 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Freiburg v Mainz 05 — Team-Based Signals
Freiburg vs Mainz 05 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Freiburg
AL1
1-1
HT 0-0
Freiburg
AL1
2-1
HT 2-0
Mainz 05
AL1
1-1
HT 0-1
Mainz 05
AL1
0-0
HT 0-0
Freiburg
AL1
Freiburg 0-0 Mainz 05 — Actual Match Statistics
Freiburg and Mainz 05 fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match lean was Freiburg at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Freiburg had 51% of the ball to Mainz 05's 49%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.77 to 0.53.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Freiburg had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Freiburg and 0.67 for Mainz 05.
What was the final score of Freiburg vs Mainz 05?
Freiburg 0-0 Mainz 05 in the Germany - Bundesliga on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Freiburg vs Mainz 05?
Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Freiburg 50%, draw 21%, Mainz 05 28%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.