Arminia Bielefeld 1-2 Preussen Münster — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.07
Over 2.5
58%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.68
No
40%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.08
6+ Goals
13%
9.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.24
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.85
X/1
15%
4.44
X/2
4%
9.34
X/X
12%
5.55
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
21.8
2/2
12%
7.04
2/X
8%
15.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.8 — our 11% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-1.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
56%
+4.4pp
40%
BTTS No
44%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arminia Bielefeld EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Preussen Münster EU Bookmakers 25%
-7% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.55/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.87
-18% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 73%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
19.1 Crosses 13.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arminia Bielefeld
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Preussen Münster
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
46% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.01.2024 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 2-1 HT 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
19.08.2023 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 4-0 HT 2-0 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3
18.04.2015 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 2-1 HT 0-1 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3
19.10.2014 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 3-1 HT 0-1 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
09.03.2013 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 HT 1-0 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3
22.09.2012 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 4-0 HT 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arminia Bielefeld
1-2
AWAY Preussen Münster
1.89 xG 1.70
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
13 Corners 2
249 Passes 257
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 23
29 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Arminia Bielefeld vs Preussen Münster
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Preussen Münster nicked a narrow win over Arminia Bielefeld 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Arminia Bielefeld at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Arminia Bielefeld had 51% of the ball to Preussen Münster's 49%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.89 to 1.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Preussen Münster led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Arminia Bielefeld and 1.83 for Preussen Münster.

What was the final score of Arminia Bielefeld vs Preussen Münster?

Arminia Bielefeld 1-2 Preussen Münster in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arminia Bielefeld vs Preussen Münster?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Arminia Bielefeld 52%, draw 25%, Preussen Münster 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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