Preussen Münster 2-1 Arminia Bielefeld — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.5
No
51%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.59
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
7.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.02
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.45
X/1
15%
5.23
X/2
14%
6.47
X/X
14%
5.4
2/1
8%
23.0
2/2
15%
4.05
2/X
5%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
62%
-13.1pp
51%
BTTS No
38%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Preussen Münster EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld EU Bookmakers 36%
+12% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
2.29/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.79
+54% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
340 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 71%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.4 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Preussen Münster
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.08.2023 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 4-0 HT 2-0 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3
18.04.2015 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 2-1 HT 0-1 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3
19.10.2014 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 3-1 HT 0-1 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
09.03.2013 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 HT 1-0 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3
22.09.2012 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 4-0 HT 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
17.03.2012 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 HT 1-1 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Preussen Münster
2-1
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Preussen Münster vs Arminia Bielefeld
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Preussen Münster nicked a narrow win over Arminia Bielefeld 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Preussen Münster made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Preussen Münster had 51% of the ball to Arminia Bielefeld's 49%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Preussen Münster and 1.67 for Arminia Bielefeld.

What was the final score of Preussen Münster vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Preussen Münster 2-1 Arminia Bielefeld in the Germany - 3rd Division on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Preussen Münster vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Before kick-off our model rated a Preussen Münster win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Preussen Münster 39%, draw 26%, Arminia Bielefeld 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Preussen Münster), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Preussen Münster) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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