Ulm 1846 2-0 Unterhaching — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 21 Jan 2024

Ulm 1846
2-0 HT 1-0
Unterhaching
📅21/01/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Ulm 1846 vs Unterhaching Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.32
6+ Goals
9%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 27% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.41
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.75
X/1
19%
4.22
X/2
8%
8.2
X/X
14%
4.97
2/1
6%
23.45
2/2
8%
6.1
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-2.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.4pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ulm 1846 v Unterhaching — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulm 1846 EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Unterhaching EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.33/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.41
+38% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
– Crosses 15.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9

Ulm 1846 vs Unterhaching Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulm 1846
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Unterhaching
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
19.08.2023 Unterhaching Unterhaching 3-2 HT 1-2 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 AL3

Ulm 1846 2-0 Unterhaching — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulm 1846
2-0
AWAY Unterhaching
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ulm 1846 vs Unterhaching
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulm 1846 saw off Unterhaching 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ulm 1846 as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ulm 1846 had 39% of the ball to Unterhaching's 61%, shots finished 13-9.

What was the final score of Ulm 1846 vs Unterhaching?

Ulm 1846 2-0 Unterhaching in the Germany - 3rd Division on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulm 1846 vs Unterhaching?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulm 1846 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ulm 1846 49%, draw 28%, Unterhaching 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulm 1846) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ulm 1846) ✗ BTTS Yes
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