Freiburg II 0-0 Borussia Dortmund II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 21 Jan 2024

Freiburg II
0-0 HT 0-0
Borussia Dortmund II
📅21/01/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Freiburg II vs Borussia Dortmund II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.02
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.75
6+ Goals
10%
16.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 29% vs market 26.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.84
1/2
9%
30.0
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
15%
5.53
X/2
17%
5.39
X/X
11%
4.33
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
14%
3.7
2/X
9%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Freiburg II v Borussia Dortmund II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.25/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.51
-11% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
257 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Freiburg II vs Borussia Dortmund II Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Freiburg II
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
246 Passes 382
66% Pass Accuracy 76%
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.08.2023 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 1-0 HT 1-0 Freiburg II Freiburg II AL3
03.03.2023 Freiburg II Freiburg II 1-0 HT 0-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
28.08.2022 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 0-2 HT 0-1 Freiburg II Freiburg II AL3
21.01.2022 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 1-1 HT 1-0 Freiburg II Freiburg II AL3
13.08.2021 Freiburg II Freiburg II 2-5 HT 2-3 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3

Freiburg II 0-0 Borussia Dortmund II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Freiburg II
0-0
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Freiburg II vs Borussia Dortmund II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg II and Borussia Dortmund II fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Freiburg II had 39% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund II's 61%, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Freiburg II and 1.40 for Borussia Dortmund II.

What was the final score of Freiburg II vs Borussia Dortmund II?

Freiburg II 0-0 Borussia Dortmund II in the Germany - 3rd Division on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg II vs Borussia Dortmund II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Borussia Dortmund II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Freiburg II 34%, draw 26%, Borussia Dortmund II 39%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Borussia Dortmund II), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Borussia Dortmund II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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