Al Wasl Dubai 1-2 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League Cup, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.7
No
39%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.18
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.43
6+ Goals
12%
13.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.43 — our 26% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
43%
+3.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-3.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
55%
+6.6pp
39%
BTTS No
45%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wasl Dubai EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Jazira Abu Dhabi EU Bookmakers 33%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.09/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.27
+52% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
11.9 Crosses 11.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wasl Dubai
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.07 xG 1.06
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
281 Passes 328
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.11.2025 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAELK
07.04.2025 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 0-5 HT 0-2 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAE
22.03.2025 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 3-1 HT 3-0 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAELK
17.03.2025 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAELK
31.10.2024 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
26.04.2024 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wasl Dubai
1-2
AWAY Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
1.83 xG 1.86
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
273 Passes 299
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Wasl Dubai vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi squeezed past Al Wasl Dubai 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Wasl Dubai at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Al Wasl Dubai had 48% of the ball to Al Jazira Abu Dhabi's 52%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 1.83 to 1.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Wasl Dubai had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Wasl Dubai and 1.17 for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi.

What was the final score of Al Wasl Dubai vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi?

Al Wasl Dubai 1-2 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi in the UAE - League Cup on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wasl Dubai vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Wasl Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Wasl Dubai 47%, draw 27%, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Wasl Dubai) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Wasl Dubai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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