Arka Gdynia 1-4 Rakow Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
52%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.6
Over 2.5
51%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.4
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.58
6+ Goals
11%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
7.29
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
5%
16.5
X/1
4%
8.33
X/2
20%
4.2
X/X
17%
4.14
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
27%
2.57
2/X
5%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
23%
-2.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
53%
Away Win
50%
+2.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arka Gdynia EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 54%
+21% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.63/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.97
+59% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +18%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.5
17.1 Crosses 22.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arka Gdynia
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
353 Passes 328
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2022 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 0-2 HT 0-1 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POLK
02.05.2021 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 2-1 HT 0-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POLK
26.06.2020 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 3-2 HT 2-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL
22.02.2020 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 3-2 HT 0-2 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
14.09.2019 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 2-0 HT 1-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arka Gdynia
1-4
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
0.67 xG 1.70
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
222 Passes 445
75% Pass Accuracy 88%
8 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arka Gdynia vs Rakow Czestochowa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rakow Czestochowa cruised past Arka Gdynia 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rakow Czestochowa as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Arka Gdynia had 37% of the ball to Rakow Czestochowa's 63%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 0.67 to 1.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Rakow Czestochowa led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Arka Gdynia and 2.20 for Rakow Czestochowa.

What was the final score of Arka Gdynia vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Arka Gdynia 1-4 Rakow Czestochowa in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arka Gdynia vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Arka Gdynia 21%, draw 27%, Rakow Czestochowa 53%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✓ Over 2.5
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