Zaglebie Lubin 0-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.46
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.21
6+ Goals
12%
11.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.94
1/2
6%
24.45
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
15%
7.05
X/2
13%
5.08
X/X
9%
4.91
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
32.5
2/2
19%
2.97
2/X
11%
12.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 32.5 — our 9% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-5.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.3pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Lubin EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Jagiellonia Bialystok EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -4%
1.41/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.56
-10% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 80%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.2
19.1 Crosses 14.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaglebie Lubin
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Jagiellonia Bialystok
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.77 xG 2.24
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
311 Passes 403
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
11.07.2025 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 0-1 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin HAZ
21.04.2025 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-3 HT 1-1 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
19.10.2024 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-3 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
20.04.2024 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-2 HT 0-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
20.10.2023 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 3-0 HT 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
18.03.2023 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-2 HT 0-1 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Lubin
0-0
AWAY Jagiellonia Bialystok
1.16 xG 0.84
27% Ball Possession 73%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
135 Passes 537
60% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia Bialystok
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaglebie Lubin and Jagiellonia Bialystok played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zaglebie Lubin had 27% of the ball to Jagiellonia Bialystok's 73%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 1.16 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jagiellonia Bialystok led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Zaglebie Lubin and 1.83 for Jagiellonia Bialystok.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?

Zaglebie Lubin 0-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jagiellonia Bialystok win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Lubin 36%, draw 26%, Jagiellonia Bialystok 39%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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