Zaglebie Lubin 1-3 Jagiellonia Bialystok — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 19 Oct 2024

Zaglebie Lubin
1-3
Jagiellonia Bialystok
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.29
Over 2.5
48%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.92
4-5 Goals
24%
2.82
6+ Goals
10%
7.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.2
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
9%
12.4
X/1
21%
5.36
X/2
14%
6.46
X/X
12%
5.45
2/1
6%
24.0
2/2
12%
3.82
2/X
7%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.3pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
40%
+12.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
60%
-12.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.0pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zaglebie Lubin v Jagiellonia Bialystok — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Lubin EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Jagiellonia Bialystok EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.33/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.45
-14% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
21.0 Crosses 14.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8

Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaglebie Lubin
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Jagiellonia Bialystok
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.23 xG 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
339 Passes 360
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.04.2024 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-2 HT 0-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
20.10.2023 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 3-0 HT 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
18.03.2023 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-2 HT 0-1 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
04.09.2022 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 HT 0-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
03.04.2022 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-1 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
01.10.2021 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 0-1 HT 0-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL

Zaglebie Lubin 1-3 Jagiellonia Bialystok — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Lubin
1-3
AWAY Jagiellonia Bialystok
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia Bialystok
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jagiellonia Bialystok got the better of Zaglebie Lubin 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Jagiellonia Bialystok found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Zaglebie Lubin had 56% of the ball to Jagiellonia Bialystok's 44%, shots finished 16-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jagiellonia Bialystok led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Zaglebie Lubin and 1.83 for Jagiellonia Bialystok.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?

Zaglebie Lubin 1-3 Jagiellonia Bialystok in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zaglebie Lubin win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Lubin 39%, draw 28%, Jagiellonia Bialystok 33%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zaglebie Lubin), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zaglebie Lubin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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