Cracovia Krakow 0-2 Lech Poznan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 19 Oct 2024

Cracovia Krakow
0-2 HT 0-0
Lech Poznan
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Cracovia Krakow vs Lech Poznan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.91
Over 2.5
42%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.49
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.42
6+ Goals
10%
12.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.49 — our 32% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.54
1/2
7%
26.0
1/X
10%
12.5
X/1
10%
6.62
X/2
16%
5.08
X/X
12%
4.5
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
13%
3.11
2/X
7%
12.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+4.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-6.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.8pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cracovia Krakow v Lech Poznan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cracovia Krakow EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Lech Poznan EU Bookmakers 45%
+9% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.48/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.24
+10% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
260 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
17.9 Crosses 17.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4

Cracovia Krakow vs Lech Poznan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cracovia Krakow
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Lech Poznan
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.93 xG 1.37
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
256 Passes 386
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.04.2024 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0-0 HT 0-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
28.10.2023 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 1-1 HT 0-1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
06.05.2023 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 3-0 HT 3-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
23.10.2022 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 0-0 HT 0-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
06.02.2022 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 3-3 HT 1-1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
06.08.2021 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 2-0 HT 0-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL

Cracovia Krakow 0-2 Lech Poznan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cracovia Krakow
0-2
AWAY Lech Poznan
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Cracovia Krakow vs Lech Poznan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lech Poznan saw off Cracovia Krakow 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Lech Poznan found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cracovia Krakow had 38% of the ball to Lech Poznan's 62%, shots finished 5-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lech Poznan led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cracovia Krakow and 1.50 for Lech Poznan.

What was the final score of Cracovia Krakow vs Lech Poznan?

Cracovia Krakow 0-2 Lech Poznan in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cracovia Krakow vs Lech Poznan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cracovia Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Cracovia Krakow 35%, draw 30%, Lech Poznan 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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