Lech Poznan 0-0 Cracovia Krakow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.06
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.82
6+ Goals
9%
16.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 30% vs market 27.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.56
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.2
X/1
14%
4.19
X/2
9%
7.73
X/X
12%
4.61
2/1
10%
25.5
2/2
13%
6.04
2/X
10%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-8.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lech Poznan EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Cracovia Krakow EU Bookmakers 28%
-7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +16%
1.35/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.09
-15% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
21.0 Crosses 17.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lech Poznan
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Cracovia Krakow
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.44 xG 1.03
58% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
383 Passes 245
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 1-1 HT 0-1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
06.05.2023 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 3-0 HT 3-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
23.10.2022 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 0-0 HT 0-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
06.02.2022 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 3-3 HT 1-1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
06.08.2021 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 2-0 HT 0-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
03.04.2021 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 2-1 HT 1-1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lech Poznan
0-0
AWAY Cracovia Krakow
69% Ball Possession 31%
13 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Lech Poznan vs Cracovia Krakow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lech Poznan and Cracovia Krakow fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Lech Poznan at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Lech Poznan had 69% of the ball to Cracovia Krakow's 31%, shots finished 13-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lech Poznan had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lech Poznan and 1.00 for Cracovia Krakow.

What was the final score of Lech Poznan vs Cracovia Krakow?

Lech Poznan 0-0 Cracovia Krakow in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lech Poznan vs Cracovia Krakow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lech Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lech Poznan 41%, draw 28%, Cracovia Krakow 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lech Poznan), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lech Poznan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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