Radomiak Radom 3-4 Zaglebie Lubin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 28 Apr 2024

Radomiak Radom
3-4 HT 0-3
Zaglebie Lubin
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2023/2024

Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.74
Over 2.5
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.92
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
4.0
6+ Goals
13%
18.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.0 — our 24% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.48
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
8%
12.45
X/1
14%
5.24
X/2
10%
6.12
X/X
10%
4.04
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
17%
4.36
2/X
10%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.5pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.2pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.3pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Radomiak Radom v Zaglebie Lubin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin EU Bookmakers 34%
-14% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.40/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.67
-33% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
331 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 73%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
26.2 Crosses 17.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radomiak Radom
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.08 xG 1.74
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
264 Passes 365
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 2-3 HT 0-2 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
06.03.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-1 HT 0-1 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
21.08.2022 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 0-1 HT 0-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
06.05.2022 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-6 HT 0-3 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
22.11.2021 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 0-2 HT 0-2 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL

Radomiak Radom 3-4 Zaglebie Lubin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radomiak Radom
3-4
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaglebie Lubin edged past Radomiak Radom 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Zaglebie Lubin found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Radomiak Radom had 55% of the ball to Zaglebie Lubin's 45%, shots finished 12-13.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Radomiak Radom had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Radomiak Radom and 1.80 for Zaglebie Lubin.

What was the final score of Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Radomiak Radom 3-4 Zaglebie Lubin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radomiak Radom win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Radomiak Radom 37%, draw 28%, Zaglebie Lubin 35%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Radomiak Radom) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Radomiak Radom) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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