Jagiellonia Bialystok 0-1 Zaglebie Lubin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 11 Jul 2025

📅11/07/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.23
Over 2.5
46%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-10.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+8.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.5pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin EU Bookmakers 26%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.85/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/3.45
-54% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -53%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
398 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.04 xG 1.72
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
379 Passes 314
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.04.2025 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-3 HT 1-1 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
19.10.2024 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-3 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
20.04.2024 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-2 HT 0-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
20.10.2023 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 3-0 HT 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
18.03.2023 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-2 HT 0-1 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
04.09.2022 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 HT 0-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok
0-1
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Zaglebie Lubin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaglebie Lubin squeezed past Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Jagiellonia Bialystok at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Jagiellonia Bialystok had 54% of the ball to Zaglebie Lubin's 46%, shots finished 9-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jagiellonia Bialystok had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Jagiellonia Bialystok and 1.33 for Zaglebie Lubin.

What was the final score of Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Jagiellonia Bialystok 0-1 Zaglebie Lubin in the Friendlies on 11/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jagiellonia Bialystok win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Jagiellonia Bialystok 43%, draw 26%, Zaglebie Lubin 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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