Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Zaglebie Lubin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Jagiellonia Bialystok v Zaglebie Lubin — Team-Based Signals
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Zaglebie Lubin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Zaglebie Lubin
POL
2-2
HT 0-1
Zaglebie Lubin
POL
1-1
HT 0-0
Jagiellonia Bialystok
POL
2-1
HT 0-0
Zaglebie Lubin
POL
Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-3 Zaglebie Lubin — Actual Match Statistics
Zaglebie Lubin saw off Jagiellonia Bialystok 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Jagiellonia Bialystok at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Jagiellonia Bialystok had 63% of the ball to Zaglebie Lubin's 37%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.53 to 2.97.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jagiellonia Bialystok had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Jagiellonia Bialystok and 1.00 for Zaglebie Lubin.
What was the final score of Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-3 Zaglebie Lubin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Jagiellonia Bialystok win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Jagiellonia Bialystok 51%, draw 25%, Zaglebie Lubin 25%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.