Puszcza Niepolomice 2-2 Radomiak Radom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 21 Apr 2025

Puszcza Niepolomice
2-2 HT 0-0
Radomiak Radom
📅21/04/2025 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Puszcza Niepolomice vs Radomiak Radom Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.62
6+ Goals
11%
15.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.25
1/2
9%
28.0
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
8%
6.03
X/2
16%
5.32
X/X
13%
4.59
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
31.0
2/2
14%
3.51
2/X
7%
13.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 31.0 — our 10% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.3pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Puszcza Niepolomice v Radomiak Radom — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puszcza Niepolomice EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 43%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -4%
1.19/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.45
+3% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
243 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
15.6 Crosses 20.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7

Puszcza Niepolomice vs Radomiak Radom Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puszcza Niepolomice
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Radomiak Radom
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.00 xG 1.97
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
183 Passes 287
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.10.2024 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 2-0 HT 0-0 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL
01.04.2024 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 1-1 HT 1-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
23.09.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-1 HT 0-0 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL
14.04.2021 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 0-4 HT 0-2 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL1
21.10.2020 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 2-0 HT 2-0 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL1
25.07.2020 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 4-0 HT 1-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL1

Puszcza Niepolomice 2-2 Radomiak Radom — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puszcza Niepolomice
2-2
AWAY Radomiak Radom
0.85 xG 1.38
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
205 Passes 252
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Puszcza Niepolomice vs Radomiak Radom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puszcza Niepolomice and Radomiak Radom couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Puszcza Niepolomice had 47% of the ball to Radomiak Radom's 53%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.85 to 1.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Radomiak Radom led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Puszcza Niepolomice and 1.67 for Radomiak Radom.

What was the final score of Puszcza Niepolomice vs Radomiak Radom?

Puszcza Niepolomice 2-2 Radomiak Radom in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puszcza Niepolomice vs Radomiak Radom?

Before kick-off our model rated an Radomiak Radom win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Puszcza Niepolomice 33%, draw 28%, Radomiak Radom 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Radomiak Radom) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Radomiak Radom) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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