Legia Varşova vs Lechia Gdansk Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Legia Varşova v Lechia Gdansk — Team-Based Signals
Legia Varşova vs Lechia Gdansk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Legia Varşova
POL
2-2
HT 1-0
Legia Varşova
POLK
2-1
HT 0-0
Lechia Gdansk
POL
2-1
HT 1-0
Lechia Gdansk
POL
3-1
HT 1-0
Legia Varşova
POL
Legia Varşova 2-1 Lechia Gdansk — Actual Match Statistics
Legia Varşova squeezed past Lechia Gdansk 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Legia Varşova as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Legia Varşova had 55% of the ball to Lechia Gdansk's 45%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.60 to 1.21 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Legia Varşova's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Legia Varşova had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Legia Varşova and 1.33 for Lechia Gdansk.
What was the final score of Legia Varşova vs Lechia Gdansk?
Legia Varşova 2-1 Lechia Gdansk in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Legia Varşova vs Lechia Gdansk?
Before kick-off our model rated a Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Legia Varşova 53%, draw 26%, Lechia Gdansk 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Legia Varşova), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.