Fatih Karagümrük 0-2 Beşiktaş — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.87
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
57%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.33
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
28%
2.9
6+ Goals
10%
8.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
7.07
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
20.8
1/X
7%
15.45
X/1
7%
9.64
X/2
19%
4.45
X/X
9%
5.99
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
27%
2.17
2/X
6%
14.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.8 — our 11% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
22%
-1.5pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.7pp
57%
Away Win
55%
+2.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.5pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fatih Karagümrük EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 59%
-8% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
0.99/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/0.95
+4% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +5%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
269 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 82%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
13.6 Crosses 19.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fatih Karagümrük
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Beşiktaş
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.66 xG 1.63
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
322 Passes 432
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.01.2024 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3-0 HT 0-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
14.08.2023 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 0-1 HT 0-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
31.01.2023 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 1-1 HT 0-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
02.12.2022 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-1 HT 0-1 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük HAZ
21.08.2022 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 4-1 HT 2-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
18.01.2022 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 0-1 HT 0-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fatih Karagümrük
0-2
AWAY Beşiktaş
0.45 xG 2.78
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 27
0 Shots on Target 12
2 Corners 9
202 Passes 382
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 41
9 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fatih Karagümrük vs Beşiktaş
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beşiktaş saw off Fatih Karagümrük 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Beşiktaş as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fatih Karagümrük had 38% of the ball to Beşiktaş's 62%, shots finished 7-27, expected goals 0.45 to 2.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beşiktaş led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Fatih Karagümrük and 1.83 for Beşiktaş.

What was the final score of Fatih Karagümrük vs Beşiktaş?

Fatih Karagümrük 0-2 Beşiktaş in the Turkey - Super League on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fatih Karagümrük vs Beşiktaş?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Fatih Karagümrük 21%, draw 22%, Beşiktaş 57%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beşiktaş) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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