Beşiktaş 3-0 Fatih Karagümrük — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.72
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.29
6+ Goals
10%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 27% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.53
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.65
X/1
14%
4.36
X/2
10%
7.61
X/X
12%
5.08
2/1
8%
23.0
2/2
12%
5.51
2/X
8%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.5pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.6pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.6pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.85/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.56
+3% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
24.7 Crosses 17.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beşiktaş
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.85 xG 0.81
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
421 Passes 335
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.08.2023 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 0-1 HT 0-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
31.01.2023 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 1-1 HT 0-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
02.12.2022 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-1 HT 0-1 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük HAZ
21.08.2022 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 4-1 HT 2-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
18.01.2022 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 0-1 HT 0-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
28.08.2021 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-0 HT 1-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beşiktaş
3-0
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
2.08 xG 0.38
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
291 Passes 364
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Beşiktaş vs Fatih Karagümrük
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beşiktaş cruised past Fatih Karagümrük 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Beşiktaş as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Beşiktaş had 44% of the ball to Fatih Karagümrük's 56%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.08 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beşiktaş had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Beşiktaş and 0.50 for Fatih Karagümrük.

What was the final score of Beşiktaş vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Beşiktaş 3-0 Fatih Karagümrük in the Turkey - Super League on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beşiktaş vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Beşiktaş 44%, draw 29%, Fatih Karagümrük 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beşiktaş), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✓ Over 2.5
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