Başakşehir FK 3-2 Alanyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.01
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.91
6+ Goals
9%
17.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.83
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.45
X/1
19%
4.46
X/2
11%
6.97
X/X
12%
4.36
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
11%
5.3
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
46%
+5.0pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.8pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.8pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +5%
1.47/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.46
-2% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
385 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
16.9 Crosses 15.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Başakşehir FK
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Alanyaspor
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.95 xG 1.08
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
440 Passes 406
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.08.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
03.03.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
03.09.2022 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 2-0 HT 1-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
08.01.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
15.08.2021 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 0-1 HT 0-1 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
25.04.2021 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Başakşehir FK
3-2
AWAY Alanyaspor
0.70 xG 1.58
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
418 Passes 359
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Başakşehir FK vs Alanyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Başakşehir FK edged past Alanyaspor 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Başakşehir FK as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Başakşehir FK had 52% of the ball to Alanyaspor's 48%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.70 to 1.58 — the balance of chances actually favoured Alanyaspor.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alanyaspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Başakşehir FK and 0.83 for Alanyaspor.

What was the final score of Başakşehir FK vs Alanyaspor?

Başakşehir FK 3-2 Alanyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Başakşehir FK vs Alanyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Başakşehir FK win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Başakşehir FK 51%, draw 23%, Alanyaspor 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Başakşehir FK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Başakşehir FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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