Çaykur Rizespor 1-0 Adana Demirspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.15
Over 2.5
43%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
4.19
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
21%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
9.59
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.19 — our 28% vs market 19.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.49
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
10%
13.6
X/1
14%
4.42
X/2
8%
7.68
X/X
15%
5.45
2/1
7%
21.75
2/2
13%
5.34
2/X
6%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.1pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.9pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
43%
+14.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
57%
-14.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.5pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Adana Demirspor EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.64/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.57
+12% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 78%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
19.0 Crosses 14.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Adana Demirspor
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.31 xG 2.28
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
324 Passes 302
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 24
31 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 3
13.08.2023 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
22.12.2022 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 3-4 HT 0-2 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TÜK
06.02.2022 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-3 HT 0-2 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
18.09.2021 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 3-1 HT 2-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
28.01.2018 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-0 HT 0-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor T1L
19.08.2017 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 1-3 HT 1-2 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
1-0
AWAY Adana Demirspor
1.71 xG 0.59
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
145 Passes 158
49% Pass Accuracy 51%
24 Box Touches 31
29 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Çaykur Rizespor vs Adana Demirspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çaykur Rizespor squeezed past Adana Demirspor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Çaykur Rizespor as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Çaykur Rizespor had 50% of the ball to Adana Demirspor's 50%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.71 to 0.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Çaykur Rizespor and 2.00 for Adana Demirspor.

What was the final score of Çaykur Rizespor vs Adana Demirspor?

Çaykur Rizespor 1-0 Adana Demirspor in the Turkey - Super League on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çaykur Rizespor vs Adana Demirspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çaykur Rizespor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Çaykur Rizespor 43%, draw 31%, Adana Demirspor 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TSL More Turkey - Super League
13 Jan 2024
13:30 Hatayspor vs Pendikspor Analysis →
13:30 MKE Ankaragücü vs Kasımpaşa Analysis →
16:00 Başakşehir FK vs Alanyaspor Analysis →
19:00 Beşiktaş vs Fatih Karagümrük Analysis →