Hatayspor 1-1 Pendikspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.94
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.01
6+ Goals
9%
18.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 30% vs market 28.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.89
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
11%
13.65
X/1
15%
4.46
X/2
13%
6.78
X/X
14%
4.34
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
10%
5.19
2/X
5%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.53/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.92
+3% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -42%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
22.5 Crosses 17.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hatayspor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Pendikspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
3.08 xG 0.77
41% Ball Possession 59%
18 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
289 Passes 435
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 10
6 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
12.08.2023 Pendikspor Pendikspor 1-5 HT 0-2 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
07.02.2016 Pendikspor Pendikspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Hatayspor Hatayspor S2-B
27.09.2015 Hatayspor Hatayspor 4-1 HT 2-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor S2-B
26.02.2014 Pendikspor Pendikspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Hatayspor Hatayspor S2-B
09.10.2013 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-3 HT 0-1 Pendikspor Pendikspor S2-B
17.03.2013 Pendikspor Pendikspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hatayspor
1-1
AWAY Pendikspor
0.99 xG 1.66
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
328 Passes 348
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 32
20 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hatayspor vs Pendikspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hatayspor and Pendikspor shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Hatayspor had 49% of the ball to Pendikspor's 51%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.99 to 1.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hatayspor and 1.33 for Pendikspor.

What was the final score of Hatayspor vs Pendikspor?

Hatayspor 1-1 Pendikspor in the Turkey - Super League on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hatayspor vs Pendikspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hatayspor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hatayspor 40%, draw 29%, Pendikspor 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hatayspor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hatayspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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