Manchester United 0-2 Newcastle United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 30 Dec 2024

Manchester United
0-2 HT 0-2
Newcastle United
📅30/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Manchester United vs Newcastle United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.15
Over 2.5
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.09
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
28%
2.92
6+ Goals
13%
8.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.81
1/2
9%
26.0
1/X
8%
12.3
X/1
16%
6.14
X/2
9%
5.73
X/X
10%
5.05
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
21%
3.45
2/X
6%
12.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-1.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+1.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.1pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manchester United v Newcastle United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle United EU Bookmakers 42%
+19% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
1.70/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.43
+41% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 79%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.1
15.1 Crosses 16.4
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.7

Manchester United vs Newcastle United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Newcastle United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.86 xG 1.89
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
325 Passes 313
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.05.2024 Manchester United Manchester United 3-2 HT 1-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
02.12.2023 Newcastle United Newcastle United 1-0 HT 0-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
01.11.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 0-3 HT 0-2 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNLK
02.04.2023 Newcastle United Newcastle United 2-0 HT 0-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
26.02.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 2-0 HT 2-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNLK
16.10.2022 Manchester United Manchester United 0-0 HT 0-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP

Manchester United 0-2 Newcastle United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United
0-2
AWAY Newcastle United
0.85 xG 1.92
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
508 Passes 444
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Manchester United vs Newcastle United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle United beat Manchester United 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Newcastle United made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Manchester United had 53% of the ball to Newcastle United's 47%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.85 to 1.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Manchester United and 1.33 for Newcastle United.

What was the final score of Manchester United vs Newcastle United?

Manchester United 0-2 Newcastle United in the England - Premier League on 30/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United vs Newcastle United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newcastle United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Manchester United 37%, draw 25%, Newcastle United 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newcastle United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
30 Dec 2024
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