Racing De Casablanca 3-1 Chabab Ben Guerir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 30 Dec 2024

📅30/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.69
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
35%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
Over 2.5
29%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.4
No
69%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
22%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
24%
+8.7pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.3pp
35%
Away Win
45%
-10.0pp
31%
BTTS Yes
38%
-6.9pp
69%
BTTS No
62%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing De Casablanca EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Chabab Ben Guerir EU Bookmakers 49%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
1.12/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+11% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
260 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing De Casablanca
0W-4D-0L
AWAY Chabab Ben Guerir
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2 Corners 6
09.02.2024 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir 1-1 Racing De Casablanca Racing De Casablanca FAS2
02.09.2023 Racing De Casablanca Racing De Casablanca 1-1 HT 0-0 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir FAS2
10.06.2023 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing De Casablanca Racing De Casablanca FAS2
27.12.2022 Racing De Casablanca Racing De Casablanca 0-0 HT 0-0 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir FAS2
POST-MATCH Racing De Casablanca vs Chabab Ben Guerir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing De Casablanca beat Chabab Ben Guerir 3-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 32% / 35%) promised a tight game; Racing De Casablanca found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (69%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Racing De Casablanca and 0.50 for Chabab Ben Guerir.

What was the final score of Racing De Casablanca vs Chabab Ben Guerir?

Racing De Casablanca 3-1 Chabab Ben Guerir in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 30/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing De Casablanca vs Chabab Ben Guerir?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chabab Ben Guerir win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Racing De Casablanca 32%, draw 32%, Chabab Ben Guerir 35%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chabab Ben Guerir) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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