Trefelin 1-1 Afan Lido — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 30 Dec 2024

Trefelin
1-1 HT 0-0
Afan Lido
📅30/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2024/2025

Trefelin vs Afan Lido Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+0.8pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.0pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.6pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Trefelin v Afan Lido — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trefelin EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Afan Lido EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.78/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/2.08
-13% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.5 Yellow Cards 4.0

Trefelin vs Afan Lido Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trefelin
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Afan Lido
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
25.10.2024 Afan Lido Afan Lido 0-0 HT 0-0 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
30.12.2023 Afan Lido Afan Lido 5-2 HT 1-1 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
26.12.2023 Trefelin Trefelin 2-1 HT 2-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
02.01.2023 Trefelin Trefelin 2-2 HT 1-2 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
27.12.2022 Afan Lido Afan Lido 3-1 HT 1-1 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
10.12.2021 Afan Lido Afan Lido 1-3 HT 1-2 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
POST-MATCH Trefelin vs Afan Lido
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trefelin and Afan Lido couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Trefelin at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Trefelin and 2.00 for Afan Lido.

What was the final score of Trefelin vs Afan Lido?

Trefelin 1-1 Afan Lido in the Wales - FAW Championship on 30/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trefelin vs Afan Lido?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trefelin win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Trefelin 50%, draw 19%, Afan Lido 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Trefelin), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trefelin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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