Llanelli Town 2-0 Baglan Dragons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 30 Dec 2024

📅30/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
62%
-4.8pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.1pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+5.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.1pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llanelli Town EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Baglan Dragons EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
2.17/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.02
-9% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +126%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llanelli Town
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Baglan Dragons
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
5 Corners 0
23.08.2024 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 2-2 HT 1-0 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
02.03.2024 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 1-2 HT 1-0 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
08.09.2023 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons GALFAW
POST-MATCH Llanelli Town vs Baglan Dragons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llanelli Town beat Baglan Dragons 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Llanelli Town as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Llanelli Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Llanelli Town and 1.33 for Baglan Dragons.

What was the final score of Llanelli Town vs Baglan Dragons?

Llanelli Town 2-0 Baglan Dragons in the Wales - FAW Championship on 30/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llanelli Town vs Baglan Dragons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llanelli Town win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Llanelli Town 58%, draw 19%, Baglan Dragons 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Llanelli Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Llanelli Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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