Aswan FC 1-1 Ghazl Kafr El Dawar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 30 Dec 2024

📅30/12/2024 · 🕒15:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.53
No
56%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.4pp
28%
Draw
32%
-3.5pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
36%
+8.4pp
56%
BTTS No
64%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aswan FC EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Ghazl Kafr El Dawar EU Bookmakers 23%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.83/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.28/0.69
-35% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / +62%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
383 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aswan FC
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ghazl Kafr El Dawar
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.12.2023 Ghazl Kafr El Dawar Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 0-0 Aswan FC Aswan FC MSR2
POST-MATCH Aswan FC vs Ghazl Kafr El Dawar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aswan FC and Ghazl Kafr El Dawar shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Aswan FC at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

What was the final score of Aswan FC vs Ghazl Kafr El Dawar?

Aswan FC 1-1 Ghazl Kafr El Dawar in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 30/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aswan FC vs Ghazl Kafr El Dawar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aswan FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Aswan FC 46%, draw 28%, Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aswan FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aswan FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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