Sporting Alexandria 0-1 Tersana Giza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 30 Dec 2024

📅30/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.44
No
62%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.1pp
32%
Draw
32%
-0.5pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
37%
+1.3pp
62%
BTTS No
63%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Alexandria EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Tersana Giza EU Bookmakers 48%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+8% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
250 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Alexandria
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Tersana Giza
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
12.06.2024 Sporting Alexandria 1-0 HT 0-0 Tersana Giza Tersana Giza MSR2P
07.06.2024 Tersana Giza Tersana Giza 3-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Alexandria MSR2P
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Alexandria
0-1
AWAY Tersana Giza
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting Alexandria vs Tersana Giza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tersana Giza edged past Sporting Alexandria 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tersana Giza as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Sporting Alexandria had 54% of the ball to Tersana Giza's 46%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sporting Alexandria and 1.50 for Tersana Giza.

What was the final score of Sporting Alexandria vs Tersana Giza?

Sporting Alexandria 0-1 Tersana Giza in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 30/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Alexandria vs Tersana Giza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tersana Giza win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sporting Alexandria 26%, draw 32%, Tersana Giza 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tersana Giza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tersana Giza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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