Pharco vs Smouha Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pharco v Smouha — Team-Based Signals
Pharco vs Smouha Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Pharco
MSR
1-0
HT 0-0
Smouha
MSR
0-2
HT 0-2
Pharco
MSR
0-0
HT 0-0
Pharco
MSR
0-0
HT 0-0
Smouha
MSR
Pharco 2-1 Smouha — Actual Match Statistics
Pharco squeezed past Smouha 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Smouha at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Pharco had 52% of the ball to Smouha's 48%, shots finished 6-8, expected goals 1.10 to 0.50.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pharco had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Pharco and 0.50 for Smouha.
What was the final score of Pharco vs Smouha?
Pharco 2-1 Smouha in the Egypt - Premier League on 30/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pharco vs Smouha?
Before kick-off our model rated an Smouha win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pharco 25%, draw 33%, Smouha 42%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.