Famalicao 1-2 Santa Clara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 30 Dec 2024

📅30/12/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.84
Draw
28%
2.77
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.44
Over 2.5
44%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.19
No
51%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
1.97
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
6.23
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
4.73
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
4%
14.75
X/1
11%
5.73
X/2
8%
5.07
X/X
19%
3.25
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.97
2/X
4%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+7.3pp
28%
Draw
33%
-4.7pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
66%
-9.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
34%
+9.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.1pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Famalicao EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 39%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -25%
1.35/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.13
+30% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
19.2 Crosses 18.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Famalicao
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Santa Clara
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.55 xG 1.16
55% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
325 Passes 274
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
24.11.2024 Famalicao Famalicao 0-1 HT 0-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POK
19.02.2023 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-3 HT 0-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
28.08.2022 Famalicao Famalicao 1-0 HT 1-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
12.03.2022 Famalicao Famalicao 0-0 HT 0-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
23.10.2021 Santa Clara Santa Clara 0-2 HT 0-1 Famalicao Famalicao POR
07.05.2021 Famalicao Famalicao 1-0 HT 0-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Famalicao
1-2
AWAY Santa Clara
69% Ball Possession 31%
18 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
472 Passes 181
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
POST-MATCH Famalicao vs Santa Clara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara edged past Famalicao 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Santa Clara made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Famalicao had 69% of the ball to Santa Clara's 31%, shots finished 18-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Famalicao had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Famalicao and 0.33 for Santa Clara.

What was the final score of Famalicao vs Santa Clara?

Famalicao 1-2 Santa Clara in the Portugal - Premier League on 30/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Famalicao vs Santa Clara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Famalicao win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Famalicao 39%, draw 28%, Santa Clara 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Famalicao) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →