Famalicao 0-1 Santa Clara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 24 Nov 2024

Famalicao
0-1 HT 0-0
Santa Clara
📅24/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Portugal - Cup – 2024/2025

Famalicao vs Santa Clara Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.51
Over 2.5
48%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.28
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
5.5
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.83
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.85
X/1
10%
4.97
X/2
11%
5.51
X/X
12%
3.72
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
11%
4.42
2/X
8%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.6pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.9pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
62%
-10.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
38%
+10.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.0pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Famalicao v Santa Clara — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Famalicao EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
287 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.3

Famalicao vs Santa Clara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Famalicao
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Santa Clara
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.48 xG 1.05
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
300 Passes 284
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
19.02.2023 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-3 HT 0-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
28.08.2022 Famalicao Famalicao 1-0 HT 1-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
12.03.2022 Famalicao Famalicao 0-0 HT 0-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
23.10.2021 Santa Clara Santa Clara 0-2 HT 0-1 Famalicao Famalicao POR
07.05.2021 Famalicao Famalicao 1-0 HT 0-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
17.01.2021 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-2 HT 0-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR

Famalicao 0-1 Santa Clara — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Famalicao
0-1
AWAY Santa Clara
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Famalicao vs Santa Clara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara nicked a narrow win over Famalicao 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Santa Clara found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Famalicao had 62% of the ball to Santa Clara's 38%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Famalicao had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Famalicao and 0.33 for Santa Clara.

What was the final score of Famalicao vs Santa Clara?

Famalicao 0-1 Santa Clara in the Portugal - Cup on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Famalicao vs Santa Clara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Famalicao win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Famalicao 40%, draw 28%, Santa Clara 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Famalicao), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Famalicao) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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