Vila Real 0-2 Gil Vicente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.78
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
56%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.4
No
60%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
10%
+9.1pp
25%
Draw
19%
+5.5pp
56%
Away Win
71%
-14.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
38%
+2.1pp
60%
BTTS No
62%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vila Real EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente EU Bookmakers 75%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.27/3.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.33
+68% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +120%
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
279 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 504 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vila Real
0-2
AWAY Gil Vicente
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vila Real vs Gil Vicente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gil Vicente beat Vila Real 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gil Vicente as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Vila Real had 44% of the ball to Gil Vicente's 56%, shots finished 7-8.

What was the final score of Vila Real vs Gil Vicente?

Vila Real 0-2 Gil Vicente in the Portugal - Cup on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vila Real vs Gil Vicente?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gil Vicente win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Vila Real 19%, draw 25%, Gil Vicente 56%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gil Vicente), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gil Vicente) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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