Varzim 1-2 O Elvas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.6pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varzim EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY O Elvas EU Bookmakers 20%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.00/0.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-52% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varzim
1-2
AWAY O Elvas
69% Ball Possession 31%
21 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Varzim vs O Elvas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

O Elvas edged past Varzim 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Varzim at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Varzim had 69% of the ball to O Elvas's 31%, shots finished 21-5.

What was the final score of Varzim vs O Elvas?

Varzim 1-2 O Elvas in the Portugal - Cup on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varzim vs O Elvas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Varzim 48%, draw 28%, O Elvas 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Varzim) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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