Sporting Covilha 2-3 Rebordosa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
31%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
51%
-12.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.4pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+9.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Covilha EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Rebordosa EU Bookmakers 24%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+58% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Covilha
2-3
AWAY Rebordosa
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Sporting Covilha vs Rebordosa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rebordosa squeezed past Sporting Covilha 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Rebordosa made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting Covilha had 67% of the ball to Rebordosa's 33%, shots finished 14-6.

What was the final score of Sporting Covilha vs Rebordosa?

Sporting Covilha 2-3 Rebordosa in the Portugal - Cup on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Covilha vs Rebordosa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Covilha win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sporting Covilha 39%, draw 30%, Rebordosa 31%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Covilha) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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