W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 0-3 Wellington Phoenix (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 30 Dec 2025

W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
0-3 HT 0-1
Wellington Phoenix (K)
📅30/12/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2025/2026

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.48
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
54%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.76
No
38%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
23%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
19%
+4.7pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.8pp
54%
Away Win
58%
-3.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.4pp
62%
BTTS Yes
53%
+8.8pp
38%
BTTS No
47%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) v Wellington Phoenix (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K) EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Wellington Phoenix (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.09/2.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.10/0.30
-13% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / –
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
201 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 76%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 47.0
15.7 Crosses 41.0
0.8 Yellow Cards –

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Wellington Phoenix (K)
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.84 xG 2.30
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 25
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
248 Passes 369
68% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 28
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.03.2025 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
09.01.2025 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 0-3 HT 0-0 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) AVUSTW
30.03.2024 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 0-3 Wellington Phoenix (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
0-3
AWAY Wellington Phoenix (K)
1.03 xG 1.74
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
207 Passes 180
67% Pass Accuracy 65%
17 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wellington Phoenix (K) cruised past W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wellington Phoenix (K) as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) had 52% of the ball to Wellington Phoenix (K)'s 48%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.03 to 1.74.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Wellington Phoenix (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for W. Sydney Wanderers (K) and 2.33 for Wellington Phoenix (K).

What was the final score of W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 0-3 Wellington Phoenix (K) in the Australia - W-League on 30/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wellington Phoenix (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 24%, draw 22%, Wellington Phoenix (K) 54%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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