Al Ansar 4-1 Bourj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 30 Dec 2025

📅30/12/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
80%
1.18
Draw
15%
5.71
Away
5%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.33
No
66%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
55%
1/2
1%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
1%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
80%
Home Win
80%
+0.1pp
15%
Draw
14%
+1.4pp
5%
Away Win
6%
-1.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.5pp
34%
BTTS Yes
39%
-4.8pp
66%
BTTS No
61%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ansar EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Bourj EU Bookmakers 9%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
2.45/0.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.79
-19% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +41%
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
503 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ansar
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Bourj
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
13.02.2025 Al Ansar Al Ansar 1-0 HT 1-0 Bourj LUBN
POST-MATCH Al Ansar vs Bourj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ansar ran out comfortable winners over Bourj 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ansar as the likeliest winner at 80%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Ansar vs Bourj?

Al Ansar 4-1 Bourj in the Lebanon - Premier League on 30/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ansar vs Bourj?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ansar win the most likely single outcome at about 80%, with the full match-result split Al Ansar 80%, draw 15%, Bourj 5%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ansar), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ansar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
30 Dec 2025
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