Safa 1-0 Shabab Al Sahel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 30 Dec 2025

📅30/12/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.1pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.1pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.5pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Safa EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Shabab Al Sahel EU Bookmakers 31%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+104% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
238 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Safa
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Shabab Al Sahel
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
31.01.2025 Safa Safa 2-0 HT 0-0 Shabab Al Sahel Shabab Al Sahel LUBN
POST-MATCH Safa vs Shabab Al Sahel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Safa edged past Shabab Al Sahel 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Safa as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Safa vs Shabab Al Sahel?

Safa 1-0 Shabab Al Sahel in the Lebanon - Premier League on 30/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Safa vs Shabab Al Sahel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Safa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Safa 41%, draw 33%, Shabab Al Sahel 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Safa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Safa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
30 Dec 2025
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