Torreense 0-1 Lusitania FC Lourosa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 30 Dec 2025

📅30/12/2025 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
37%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.6
Over 2.5
50%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.45
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.46
6+ Goals
10%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.1pp
23%
Draw
29%
-6.0pp
37%
Away Win
29%
+8.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.7pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torreense EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lusitania FC Lourosa EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.38/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.53
-11% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
255 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses 13.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torreense
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Lusitania FC Lourosa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2025 Lusitania FC Lourosa Lusitania FC Lourosa 0-1 HT 0-0 Torreense Torreense POK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torreense
0-1
AWAY Lusitania FC Lourosa
3.15 xG 1.19
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
434 Passes 169
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Torreense vs Lusitania FC Lourosa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lusitania FC Lourosa edged past Torreense 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and on the day Lusitania FC Lourosa made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Torreense had 64% of the ball to Lusitania FC Lourosa's 36%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 3.15 to 1.19 — the balance of chances actually favoured Torreense.

What was the final score of Torreense vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?

Torreense 0-1 Lusitania FC Lourosa in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 30/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torreense vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torreense win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Torreense 40%, draw 23%, Lusitania FC Lourosa 37%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Torreense) ✗ BTTS Yes
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