Lusitania FC Lourosa 0-1 Torreense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
14.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.0pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lusitania FC Lourosa EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Torreense EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -57% / -57%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -53%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lusitania FC Lourosa
0-1
AWAY Torreense
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Torreense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torreense squeezed past Lusitania FC Lourosa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Torreense made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lusitania FC Lourosa had 55% of the ball to Torreense's 45%, shots finished 7-8.

What was the final score of Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Torreense?

Lusitania FC Lourosa 0-1 Torreense in the Portugal - Cup on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Torreense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitania FC Lourosa win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lusitania FC Lourosa 37%, draw 30%, Torreense 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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