Fafe vs Arouca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fafe v Arouca — Team-Based Signals
Fafe 2-1 Arouca — Actual Match Statistics
Fafe nicked a narrow win over Arouca 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Arouca at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Fafe had 56% of the ball to Arouca's 44%, shots finished 18-8.
What was the final score of Fafe vs Arouca?
Fafe 2-1 Arouca in the Portugal - Cup on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fafe vs Arouca?
Before kick-off our model rated an Arouca win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Fafe 30%, draw 21%, Arouca 49%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Arouca), BTTS No went the other way.