Tondela 0-0 Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 23 Nov 2025

Tondela
0-0 HT 0-0
Caldas
📅23/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Portugal - Cup – 2025/2026

Tondela vs Caldas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.34
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.38
Over 2.5
46%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
4.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.92
4-5 Goals
22%
2.67
6+ Goals
10%
6.84
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.8 — our 27% vs market 15.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
70%
-7.7pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.2pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+6.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
38%
+15.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
62%
-15.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.7pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tondela v Caldas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tondela EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Caldas EU Bookmakers 15%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
2.77/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.13
-3% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
535 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Tondela 0-0 Caldas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tondela
0-0
AWAY Caldas
68% Ball Possession 32%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 5
16 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tondela vs Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tondela and Caldas played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Tondela carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Tondela had 68% of the ball to Caldas's 32%, shots finished 17-7.

What was the final score of Tondela vs Caldas?

Tondela 0-0 Caldas in the Portugal - Cup on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tondela vs Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tondela win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Tondela 62%, draw 19%, Caldas 18%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tondela) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tondela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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