Vila Mea vs Leixoes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vila Mea v Leixoes — Team-Based Signals
Vila Mea 2-1 Leixoes — Actual Match Statistics
Vila Mea nicked a narrow win over Leixoes 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Leixoes at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Vila Mea had 54% of the ball to Leixoes's 46%, shots finished 21-13.
What was the final score of Vila Mea vs Leixoes?
Vila Mea 2-1 Leixoes in the Portugal - Cup on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vila Mea vs Leixoes?
Before kick-off our model rated an Leixoes win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Vila Mea 21%, draw 29%, Leixoes 50%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leixoes) went the other way.