Al Adalah 2-1 Al Jabalain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 30 Dec 2025

📅30/12/2025 · 🕒17:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
3.5
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
58%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
25%
-7.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
58%
Away Win
49%
+9.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.5pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Adalah EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Jabalain EU Bookmakers 53%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -12%
1.68/2.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.18
+67% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
225 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Adalah
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Jabalain
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.02.2025 Al Jabalain Al Jabalain 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Adalah Al Adalah SUUD1
05.10.2024 Al Adalah Al Adalah 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Jabalain Al Jabalain SUUD1
09.03.2024 Al Jabalain Al Jabalain 1-2 HT 0-2 Al Adalah Al Adalah SUUD1
23.10.2023 Al Adalah Al Adalah 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Jabalain Al Jabalain SUUD1
07.02.2022 Al Adalah Al Adalah 0-2 Al Jabalain Al Jabalain SUUD1
29.09.2021 Al Jabalain Al Jabalain 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Adalah Al Adalah SUUD1
POST-MATCH Al Adalah vs Al Jabalain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Adalah squeezed past Al Jabalain 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Al Jabalain carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Adalah had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Adalah and 1.17 for Al Jabalain.

What was the final score of Al Adalah vs Al Jabalain?

Al Adalah 2-1 Al Jabalain in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 30/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Adalah vs Al Jabalain?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Jabalain win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Al Adalah 17%, draw 24%, Al Jabalain 58%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Jabalain) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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