İran 1-1 Suriye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Asian Cup, 31 Jan 2024

İran
1-1 HT 1-0
Suriye
📅31/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Asian Cup – 2023

İran vs Suriye Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
17%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.06
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
3.77
6+ Goals
8%
16.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 30% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.67
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
21.1
X/1
21%
3.28
X/2
6%
16.25
X/X
10%
5.57
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
6%
14.7
2/X
9%
22.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
67%
-10.1pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.3pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+5.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.6pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İran v Suriye — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İran EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Suriye EU Bookmakers 14%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
2.35/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.14/0.50
+26% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -97% / +150%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
407 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 72%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.0
18.0 Crosses 8.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

İran vs Suriye Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İran
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Suriye
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.73 xG 0.69
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
369 Passes 145
82% Pass Accuracy 64%
27 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.11.2021 Suriye Suriye 0-3 HT 0-2 İran İran DKE
02.09.2021 İran İran 1-0 HT 0-0 Suriye Suriye DKE
05.09.2017 İran İran 2-2 HT 1-1 Suriye Suriye DKE
15.11.2016 Suriye Suriye 0-0 HT 0-0 İran İran DKE

İran 1-1 Suriye — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İran
1-1
AWAY Suriye
2.59 xG 1.29
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 10
12 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
594 Passes 419
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 23
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İran vs Suriye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İran and Suriye couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. İran carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, İran had 57% of the ball to Suriye's 43%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 2.59 to 1.29.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, İran had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for İran and 0.50 for Suriye.

What was the final score of İran vs Suriye?

İran 1-1 Suriye in the Asian Cup on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İran vs Suriye?

Before kick-off our model rated a İran win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split İran 57%, draw 26%, Suriye 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (İran), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İran) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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