Bahreyn 1-3 Japonya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Asian Cup, 31 Jan 2024

Bahreyn
1-3 HT 0-1
Japonya
📅31/01/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Asian Cup – 2023

Bahreyn vs Japonya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.95
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
59%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.09
No
48%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.65
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.83
6+ Goals
12%
7.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
18.65
1/2
6%
23.85
1/X
6%
25.5
X/1
7%
23.0
X/2
11%
3.35
X/X
6%
8.16
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
42%
1.42
2/X
8%
25.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
10%
+11.6pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.8pp
59%
Away Win
74%
-15.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+8.7pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bahreyn v Japonya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahreyn EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Japonya EU Bookmakers 79%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.07/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.87
+70% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -76%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 449 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 42.0
– Crosses 35.0
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Bahreyn vs Japonya Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahreyn
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Japonya
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
03.03.2010 Japonya Japonya 2-0 HT 1-0 Bahreyn Bahreyn ASK
28.03.2009 Japonya Japonya 1-0 HT 0-0 Bahreyn Bahreyn DKE
06.09.2008 Bahreyn Bahreyn 2-3 HT 0-2 Japonya Japonya DKE

Bahreyn 1-3 Japonya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahreyn
1-3
AWAY Japonya
0.22 xG 1.99
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
346 Passes 417
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
6 Box Touches 36
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bahreyn vs Japonya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Japonya beat Bahreyn 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Japonya as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Bahreyn had 47% of the ball to Japonya's 53%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.22 to 1.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Japonya led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bahreyn and 2.00 for Japonya.

What was the final score of Bahreyn vs Japonya?

Bahreyn 1-3 Japonya in the Asian Cup on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahreyn vs Japonya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Japonya win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Bahreyn 21%, draw 20%, Japonya 59%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Japonya), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Japonya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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