Jamshedpur 1-1 NorthEast United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 31 Jan 2024

Jamshedpur
1-1 HT 1-0
NorthEast United
📅31/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
India - Super League – 2023/2024

Jamshedpur vs NorthEast United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.82
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.17
6+ Goals
12%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 26% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.8pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jamshedpur v NorthEast United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jamshedpur EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY NorthEast United EU Bookmakers 32%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.59/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.44
-23% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -40%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 80%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
23.6 Crosses 13.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7

Jamshedpur vs NorthEast United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jamshedpur
5W-0D-1L
AWAY NorthEast United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.49 xG 1.09
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
254 Passes 311
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.01.2024 NorthEast United NorthEast United 1-2 HT 1-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HINSK
26.10.2023 NorthEast United NorthEast United 2-1 HT 0-1 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
04.02.2023 NorthEast United NorthEast United 0-2 HT 0-1 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
30.10.2022 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 1-0 HT 1-0 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
25.02.2022 NorthEast United NorthEast United 2-3 HT 0-1 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
06.01.2022 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 3-2 HT 1-1 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL

Jamshedpur 1-1 NorthEast United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jamshedpur
1-1
AWAY NorthEast United
1.08 xG 0.63
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
267 Passes 222
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 12
31 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jamshedpur vs NorthEast United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jamshedpur and NorthEast United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Jamshedpur at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Jamshedpur had 54% of the ball to NorthEast United's 46%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.08 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jamshedpur had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Jamshedpur and 1.17 for NorthEast United.

What was the final score of Jamshedpur vs NorthEast United?

Jamshedpur 1-1 NorthEast United in the India - Super League on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jamshedpur vs NorthEast United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jamshedpur win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Jamshedpur 43%, draw 26%, NorthEast United 31%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jamshedpur) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →