Deportivo Cali 2-0 Fortaleza CEIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 31 Jan 2024

📅31/01/2024 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-6.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
1.29/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-6% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +34%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.2 Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cali
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
13.05.2022 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOLK
21.04.2022 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-3 HT 1-1 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cali
2-0
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
1.23 xG 1.14
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
231 Passes 349
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cali vs Fortaleza CEIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Cali got the better of Fortaleza CEIF 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Cali found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Deportivo Cali had 42% of the ball to Fortaleza CEIF's 58%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 1.23 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fortaleza CEIF led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Cali and 2.00 for Fortaleza CEIF.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cali vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Deportivo Cali 2-0 Fortaleza CEIF in the Colombia - Primera on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cali vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cali 40%, draw 28%, Fortaleza CEIF 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Cali), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Cali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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