La Equidad 1-0 Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 31 Jan 2024

📅31/01/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.09
No
62%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-2.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.7pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Equidad EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.35/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.36
-19% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
319 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 74%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
18.1 Crosses 14.9
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Equidad
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Santa Fe
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.87 xG 1.46
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
218 Passes 287
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.08.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-1 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
20.02.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 0-1 HT 0-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
10.07.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 2-2 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
22.01.2022 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-1 HT 0-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
17.08.2021 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-2 HT 0-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
18.04.2021 La Equidad La Equidad 1-2 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Equidad
1-0
AWAY Santa Fe
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
159 Passes 367
69% Pass Accuracy 81%
POST-MATCH La Equidad vs Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Equidad squeezed past Santa Fe 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had La Equidad as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, La Equidad had 34% of the ball to Santa Fe's 66%, shots finished 10-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Fe led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for La Equidad and 1.17 for Santa Fe.

What was the final score of La Equidad vs Santa Fe?

La Equidad 1-0 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Equidad vs Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Equidad win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split La Equidad 43%, draw 29%, Santa Fe 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (La Equidad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (La Equidad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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