Sporting Braga vs Chaves Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Braga v Chaves — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Braga vs Chaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-4
HT 1-1
Sporting Braga
POR
1-2
HT 1-1
Sporting Braga
POR
0-1
HT 0-1
Chaves
POR
2-1
HT 0-0
Chaves
POR
0-1
HT 0-1
Sporting Braga
POR
1-4
HT 0-2
Sporting Braga
POR
Sporting Braga 1-1 Chaves — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Braga and Chaves shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Sporting Braga at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sporting Braga had 70% of the ball to Chaves's 30%, shots finished 26-7, expected goals 3.32 to 0.55.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Sporting Braga and 1.00 for Chaves.
What was the final score of Sporting Braga vs Chaves?
Sporting Braga 1-1 Chaves in the Portugal - Premier League on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Braga vs Chaves?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga 63%, draw 19%, Chaves 18%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.