Palermo 1-2 Pisa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 31 Jan 2025

Palermo
1-2 HT 0-2
Pisa
📅31/01/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Palermo vs Pisa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.59
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.23
6+ Goals
9%
21.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.59 — our 35% vs market 31.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.16
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
12.25
X/1
15%
5.05
X/2
11%
7.03
X/X
13%
3.79
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
14%
5.34
2/X
7%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.4pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.6pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.1pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Palermo v Pisa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palermo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Pisa EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.52/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.31
+13% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
237 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
22.2 Crosses 19.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7

Palermo vs Pisa Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palermo
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Pisa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
1.47 xG 1.32
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
272 Passes 316
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.08.2024 Pisa Pisa 2-0 HT 1-0 Palermo Palermo İTB
01.04.2024 Pisa Pisa 4-3 HT 0-2 Palermo Palermo İTB
16.12.2023 Palermo Palermo 3-2 HT 2-0 Pisa Pisa İTB
04.03.2023 Pisa Pisa 1-1 HT 0-1 Palermo Palermo İTB
15.10.2022 Palermo Palermo 3-3 HT 2-1 Pisa Pisa İTB

Palermo 1-2 Pisa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palermo
1-2
AWAY Pisa
1.12 xG 1.08
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
256 Passes 154
72% Pass Accuracy 58%
14 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Palermo vs Pisa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pisa squeezed past Palermo 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Palermo at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Palermo had 58% of the ball to Pisa's 42%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.12 to 1.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Pisa led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Palermo and 2.40 for Pisa.

What was the final score of Palermo vs Pisa?

Palermo 1-2 Pisa in the Italy - Serie B on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palermo vs Pisa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Palermo 44%, draw 25%, Pisa 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Palermo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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